Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.637291 0.723347 0.815307 0.920727 1.038070 1.164502 1.310864
2025-08-03 0.513212 0.634126 0.773022 0.943677 1.146961 1.380582 1.668562
2025-08-10 0.415146 0.555535 0.728012 0.953797 1.239668 1.587489 2.040384
2025-08-17 0.340479 0.491282 0.688581 0.962403 1.328828 1.798009 2.439210
2025-08-24 0.283720 0.439579 0.655849 0.972624 1.418415 2.015984 2.868473
2025-08-31 0.234929 0.389767 0.617012 0.967167 1.483509 2.205367 3.276106
2025-09-07 0.202410 0.357838 0.598028 0.985578 1.581560 2.446467 3.774184
2025-09-14 0.170014 0.320062 0.563978 0.975522 1.634401 2.625110 4.195902
2025-09-21 0.147848 0.295136 0.546042 0.987042 1.719289 2.855917 4.710669
2025-09-28 0.125078 0.264906 0.514539 0.971439 1.757719 3.016603 5.128749
2025-10-05 0.114436 0.255144 0.516704 1.012271 1.891285 3.335683 5.815886
2025-10-12 0.105039 0.246073 0.518566 1.052047 2.025615 3.664679 6.540361
2025-10-19 0.093443 0.230770 0.507179 1.067260 2.120104 3.937679 7.197905
2025-10-26 0.082039 0.213766 0.490070 1.069518 2.191231 4.176144 7.814514
2025-11-02 0.071675 0.197077 0.471134 1.065689 2.250195 4.397161 8.415854
2025-11-09 0.063081 0.182821 0.455147 1.065555 2.315496 4.633312 9.058465
2025-11-16 0.056037 0.170939 0.442519 1.070584 2.390688 4.891902 9.756807
2025-11-23 0.048934 0.157394 0.424074 1.060752 2.434720 5.094925 10.366144
2025-11-30 0.044414 0.149859 0.418481 1.078217 2.535527 5.411263 11.202989
2025-12-07 0.038808 0.138002 0.400644 1.065739 2.572108 5.605602 11.821573
2025-12-14 0.035089 0.130889 0.393544 1.077178 2.660433 5.906627 12.660676
2025-12-21 0.030535 0.120104 0.375284 1.059674 2.683496 6.078151 13.257889
2025-12-28 0.028975 0.118667 0.381732 1.103349 2.846730 6.544353 14.460495